Acrimony of economic partnership agreements

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Acrimony of economic partnership agreements

AFRICA TRADE NETWORK ACP Civil Society Seminar on Post-Cotonou, Accra, 20-22 March, 2018

introductory: critical features and lessons of EPA experience

  • content
  • liberalisation
  • deregulation
  • protectionism
  • (re) weaponization of aid
  • process
  • inherent asymmetry of power; reinforced by
  • united-integrated versus fragmentation and incoherence; reinforced by
  • deficit of strategic vision
  • a (not-so-tiny) fly in the ointment
  • (un) civil society
  • limited by a detachment from main social forces;

content: liberalisation, deregulation and protectionism

  • liberalisation (of trade in goods)
  • from non-reciprocal preferences to reciprocal free trade
  • deregulation
  • sevices; investment; competition; government procurement; capital accounts
  • protectionism
  • technology – TRIPS, including data exclusivity, agricultural advantage (CAP); SPS
  • weaponization’ of aid
  • from separate to separate but direct adjunct to negotiation
  • adjustment costs; payment of negotiators; studies, etc; [even civil society advocacy]
  • all to the distinct disadvantage of ACP. Anti-developmental

short commentary: strategic interest and forum shopping

  • Lome IV Mid-Term Review: Consolidation of EU variant of Neo-Liberalism
  • The Straight and Crooked Road From Lome to Cotonou

– Intergrating ACP smoothly and gradually into WTO
– The American Challenge: Clinton and AGOA

  • Cotonou and the Rise of Free Trade Agreements

– From REPAs to EPAs to (R)EPAs

  • Rise of the BRICs and New Additional Competition
  • Resulting EPA Agenda: the march of Singapore Issues; Global Europe Strategy; Raw Materials Initiative, etc

process

  • inherent asymmetry
  • EU-ACP Economic Relationship Inherited from colonialism
  • Primary Commodity Export Dependence; reinforced in different forms from Yaounde, to Lome, via Strutural Adjustment to Cotonou
  • Strategic unity (Europe) versus strategic fragmentation (ACP)
  • ECOWAS; UEMOA – A marriage of total contradiction negotiating a mortgae
  • Deficit of strategic Vision on EU
  • Lost in post-indepence period; reinforced by SAP;
  • Negotiating through dependence
  • Mandates
  • Negotiating Positions
  • Meeting the Costs of Negotiation

the monkey-wrench of (un)-civil society

  • First the Good News: Civil Society Significant Disruption
  • a counter-narrative to a unilateral narrative of TINA; or development agreement
  • technical arguments
  • social experiences
  • But can be over-rated
  • Global Crisis, and awakening of governments
  • Delay/disruption; no cessation
  • A short –case study of West Africa
  • Actually sat in negotiations
  • At best confused the process; at worst diluted mass mobilisation
  • How So?
  • An uneasy juncture of anti-globalisation advocacy with aid groups (POSCAO and ATN)
  • Strong on the Inside Weak on the Outside
  • Appealed to Poor Victims; Not Proactive Agents in Society

dare we learn?

  • Partnership? –Your Partner Depends on Who You Are
  • Europe /ACP Are Not Yet Partners
  • Recognition of respective inherently conflictual locations in Global order
  • Aim for Outcomes Which reduces or eliminates the Basic constraints?
  • It is raw materials, markets and industrialisation, stupid
  • Who decides what to do with ACP resources and markets?
  • Negotiating Strategy and Position Do Not Drop from the Sky
  • ACP should build their strategy from conscious understanding of their reality
  • Not by copying and pasting Europe
  • “Civil Society” Must Dare to Mobilise Outside/Beyond Itself
  • A narrative constructed from reality of society as a whole, from perspective of building productive capabilities and economic transformation
  • Speak not for the vulnerable, socio-economic constituencies around control of productive resources
  • Social mobilisation, not public mobilisation. Presented by Tetteh Hormeku

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